Category Archives: Hockey

Blake ain’t no Gretzky


Leaf coach Paul Maurice said in an interview this morning that this year’s Leaf team is “the most talented team I’ve ever coached”. This is a guy that coached Carolina to the Stanley Cup final in 2001/02. Are Jason Blake and Vesa Toskala really that good? They are really the only changes to the team since last year, and last year, the Leafs didn’t make the playoffs.

I realize he doesn’t want to come out and say “this team won’t suck quite as much as last year”, but let’s not stretch things too far.

Interesting note: I originally spelled Gretzky wrong in the title, and Firefox flagged it as a misspelling. Then I corrected it, and the flag went away. This tells me that the word “Gretzky” is in Firefox’s dictionary.

Homers and homers


Alex Rodriguez is one homer away from 500 on his career. When he hits it, he’ll be the youngest player ever to hit 500 home runs. Everyone is going nuts over Barry Bonds’s pursuit of Hank Aaron’s 755, but I think A-Rod’s achievement is even more impressive, especially given the fact that Bonds was on the juice for the last few years, and A-Rod (probably) is not.

Bonds’s story is kind of too bad — he would have been known as one of the all-time greatest players even if he hadn’t juiced himself up but because he did, now he’s a joke. He has over 500 career stolen bases, and is the only member of both the 400-400 club and the 500-500 club, but will people remember him as a base stealer? Not likely, because of the home run records, the juice, and the fact that he’s only averaged 5 steals a year over the last 6 years. Sure he’s got the single-season homer
record and he’ll soon have the career record, but everyone knows what he did to achieve those records, so even if there isn’t an asterisk next to the numbers in the record books, there is in most people’s minds.

Even Bonds, however, has acknowledged that assuming he does break Aaron’s record, the most likely player to break his record would be Rodriguez and barring injuries, I think A-Rod is a lock to do just that. Bonds is probably done after this year, so let’s say he ends up with 765, and say Rodriguez ends up with 515 by the end of the season. Rodriguez would then be behind by 250 at the age of 32. Five years of fifty homers each might be a stretch, but can A-Rod average over 35 a year for 7 years, or 25 a year for 10? Sure he can.

There’s a report today that a group of local businesspeople in Nashville is close to a deal that would see the Predators stay in Nashville. They would buy the team for something like $190 million, which is something like $30 million less than what was offered by Jim Balsillie. I see this as proof that Gary Bettman does not want any more NHL teams in Canada. What owner who is actively trying to sell his team would take $30 million less than what he was offered? If he’s considering bids that were almost the same amount, he might decide to go with the one that keeps the team in Nashville, but no owner is going to say no to an extra $30 million out of the goodness of his heart. The big question is what has Gary Bettman promised him in order to keep the Preds from coming north of the border?

On-the-job training shouldn’t last four years


The Leafs have announced that they are looking at hiring a “mentor” for GM John Ferguson Jr. The position would be “senior hockey administrator”, and would only last a few years. Ferguson would still be the GM and would still make the decisions. Richard Peddie says that “John is still a very young man in a tough hockey market… and it occurred to us that John could use some help.” He also says “John is still learning the job, and even though we have made some progress, we haven’t made enough…”

This is ridiculous. How is Ferguson “still learning the job” after four years? They call him a “young man”, and considering he’s only 40, that’s true. But Bryan Colangelo is only 42, and he’s president and GM of the Raptors, with no mentor. He has MLSE’s full support and full authority over the team. And what progress have the Leafs made during JFJ’s reign? They made the playoffs in his first year as GM, then there was the lockout, then they haven’t made the playoffs in the last two seasons. If after four years, they think he still needs help and is still learning the job, then why is he still in the job? Why don’t they just fire his ass, and hire someone competent? Or, if they’re really determined to have him as the GM at some point, then hire a real GM (who does know the job), and make Ferguson his assistant GM for a few years, or as long as it takes for him to learn how to run a team.

Vindication


Steve Simmons from the Toronto Sun wrote an article today on the same thing I wrote about last week — how the Leafs ownership is all about profit, and not about winning the Stanley Cup. Sometimes it sucks to be right.

The Big Decision


I am at a crossroads, considering making one of the most critical decisions of my life. Do I stay the course, continuing something I’ve done for many years and that I’m comfortable with, or have I had enough of the status quo? Am I ready to make the life-altering decision that will have lifelong consequences for me and my children?

I’m talking, of course, about my allegiance with the Toronto Maple Leafs and my position of “lifelong fan”. I’ve been a Leafs fan as long as I can remember, having been brought up in Toronto. I remember watching Leaf games as a kid with my dad and saying dumb things like “Wow, if that guy was a Maple Leaf, we would have scored!” when the opposing goalie passed the puck to one of his defensemen. I weathered the storm in the 70’s when the team sucked, though I don’t remember most of it. I was there in the 80’s when the team sucked; I even coloured my hair blue during the playoffs one year (when all my friends said they were going to do it too and then chickened out — not that I’m still bitter about that). I was there in the 90’s and 2000’s when the team didn’t suck as bad most of the time, and I’ve been there the last two years when the team sucked. But over the last couple of years, as I pay more and more attention to the team (thanks to listening to sports radio during my commute every day), I grow more and more frustrated with the way the team is run:

  • John Ferguson has done a lousy job of building the team into a winner, and they just resigned him to a long-term contract.
  • Nik Antropov was supposed to be a top prospect, but has been a total bust. After six full seasons and part of another, he’s certainly had enough time to make the most of his supposed potential, but simply hasn’t, and yet they just resigned him as well.
  • They signed Bryan McCabe to an insanely large contract, with a no-trade clause — he’s a good offensive defenseman, but is not that great defensively, and certainly doesn’t deserve to be paid as if he is among the upper echelon of
    defenseman.
  • For years, the Leafs would sign past-their-prime players and pay them as if they were still in their prime. (One notable exception is Eric Lindros, who was definitely past his prime, but they didn’t pay him a ton.) The only reason they don’t still do this is the salary cap. Even if they didn’t pay them big bucks, they’d trade away prospects and draft picks to get them. They are still doing this (see Yanic Perreault last year).

MLSE is making money hand over fist on the Leafs, and it has been projected in the media a number of times that if the Leafs ever did win the Stanley Cup, public interest in the team might actually drop in subsequent years (I’ve heard the same thing about the Chicago Cubs, though it didn’t seem to happen when the Boston Red Sox finally won the World Series). So MLSE has no real incentive to put in the effort to win the Cup, and it’s been painfully obvious that they have no particular interest in doing so. Hence the hiring of a inexperienced (i.e. cheap) GM that they can control. This would explain the signing of popular players to rich contracts, rather than trying to sign players that might actually help the team win. Tie Domi and the aforementioned McCabe come immediately to mind. (Though the Antropov signing puzzles me, since he’s neither useful nor popular.)

They just resigned the very popular Mats Sundin to a one-year deal, which I don’t have a huge problem with. I wouldn’t have been too disappointed, however, if they had decided not to resign him, as long as they used that money to sign young players with some upside, rather than doing something stupid like signing Alexei Yashin. I’ve heard rumours on the radio that the Leafs are interested in signing Yashin, and I cannot imagine a dumber move for the Leafs than signing him, unless they get him for some bargain-basement price and have the ability to trade him or send him to the minors at any time.

Anyway, back to MLSE, which also owns the Toronto Raptors. However, the way they handle that team is vastly different than the way they handle the Leafs. MLSE paid big bucks to hire a stud GM for the Raptors, and make that team into a winner. This makes sense — the Raptors have been around for less than 15 years and to a large extent, they’re still trying to create a long-term fan base. If the Raps suck for years and years, it’s logical to think that interest will decrease, so they want to make that team into a winner to keep the fans interested. MLSE is a business, attempting to make a profit, nothing more. If winning a Stanley Cup will significantly increase that profit, then that’s what they’ll try to do, but it won’t. But Toronto fans have shown for 40 years that they will pay to watch the Leafs and buy jerseys and stuff even if the team doesn’t win, so why bother paying for a stud GM or putting in any significant work to help the team win when there’s no significant financial advantage to doing so?

I lived in Ottawa in 1993 when Ottawa was awarded an expansion franchise, and I’ve had a soft spot for the Senators ever since. But Senators coverage on the local TV and radio stations is minimal unless they’re playing the Leafs (or in the Cup finals), so I’d have to work pretty hard at being a die-hard Sens fan. Now, along comes Jim Balsillie, attempting to be my saviour.

If Balsillie moves the Nashville Predators to Hamilton or Kitchener-Waterloo, my prayers are answered. Balsillie isn’t buying the team to make money — he’s a hockey fan, so he (presumably) wants to win a Cup, which means he might be willing to do whatever is necessary to accomplish that goal, which MLSE is not. I’ll have a local team to cheer for that might actually be interested in winning, and actually has the talent to do so. Tickets for games might be easier (i.e. possible) to get, and I won’t have to take out a second mortgage to go to a couple of games. Copps Coliseum is less than 15km from my house, so if they play there for a year or two while they build an arena in Waterloo (where I work), that would be perfect.

I’m sure I will always be a Leaf fan to some extent, especially if the Predators don’t move to southern Ontario. But until Leaf ownership changes their tune and actually tries to put a winning team on the ice, my passion for the Leafs will wane.

Update: Just thought of a cool song lyric that I should have used as the title of this post: “We said our love would last forever, so how did it come to this bitter end?” from “Kayleigh” by Marillion.

Stanley Cup Champion Ducks


…boy does that sounds weird. So I ended up 11 for 15 in my NHL playoff picks. As I said before, I wouldn’t call Ottawa’s defeat “choking” – in previous years, they’ve had great regular seasons and then lost to inferior teams in the playoffs, while this year, they beat the inferior teams (and you could even argue that Buffalo wasn’t) and then simply lost to a better team. Can’t fault them too much for that, though the fact that Jason Spezza and Dany Heatley are now appearing on milk cartons all over the National Capital Region certainly didn’t help them.

We did the Walk for Miracles this morning. It was indeed 5km, same as the Run for the Cure, but was a little more leisurely, and seemed less hectic. However, the main reason for that was the fact that there were way less people there. I don’t remember the actual numbers, but I think the Run for the Cure has something like thirty thousand people walking through the closed streets of downtown Burlington. Today, there were a maybe a couple of thousand walking along sidewalks through downtown London. No streets were closed; actually, I don’t think the path they chose even crossed any streets. Anyway, both boys walked the whole way (no wagon!), so I was pretty impressed with that. We had lots of fun, and will probably do it again next year.

Edited to add: Here are a couple of pictures from last year’s Walk for Miracles. There are three pictures from London — the little girl cutting the ribbon is Sarah, and her mom Cindy is helping.

Stanley Cup Final pick


OK, after going 4-for-4 in the second round, I went 0-for-2 in
the third round. What’s more, I predicted Buffalo would beat Ottawa
in 6 or 7, and Ottawa took out Buffalo in 5 — couldn’t get much more wrong.
Oh well, I’m still 11-for-14 overall. Only one pick left!

This one is tough. So far, I’ve tried to keep emotions out of it, picking teams
that I thought would win, rather than teams I hoped would win.
But now that the Senators (my second favourite team) are in the finals, I’m
finding it hard not to root for them. I’m really hoping they can pull this off.
A friend of mine grew up near Toronto but now lives near Ottawa, and he’s
abandoned the blue-and-white to become a die-hard Sens fan. He told me last year
that in Ottawa, the regular season almost doesn’t matter anymore, all that matters is
what happens in the playoffs. Obviously no Leaf fan would think that way, because
(a) it’s never a guarantee that the Leafs will even get to the playoffs
(they didn’t this year or last), and (b) it seems that for some Leafs fans (not
me), any season where they do make the playoffs can be considered a success,
regardless of when they get knocked out.

Any (non-Leafs) team might be a serious contender for a couple of years,
maybe more, and then they usually start to suck. Edmonton was great in the
early-mid 80’s, and sucked in the early 90’s. The Islanders were great in the
early 80’s, then have pretty much sucked ever since. Calgary, Montreal, the
Rangers, Pittsburgh,
Philadelphia, Dallas, they’ve all had periods of time where they were serious
contenders, and then a few years later they were at the bottom of the heap. A
few teams like Detroit and New Jersey may not be contenders every year, but rarely
seem to have really crappy teams. Anyway, near the beginning of this season, when
the Sens
were losing (and the Leafs were winning), I started to wonder if this was the end of
the Sens run, if their window of opportunity was closing. Then they turned their
season around and began winning, and suddenly, making the playoffs wasn’t an
issue, the question was (as usual over the past several seasons), how far would
they go. I think their reputation as playoff chokers is now gone. Alfredsson seems
to be the leader in Ottawa that Mats Sundin has never quite become in Toronto,
he, Heatley and Spezza are firing on all cylinders, and I think this is the
year.

Ottawa over Anaheim in 6.

Third Round Picks


Just call me Mr. Prognisticator. I’m now 11 for 12 in my NHL playoff picks, after a perfect second round. I expected the Ottawa series to go longer, but I did get the winner right. Now for my third round picks…

  • Buffalo over Ottawa — this is a hard one. I am a closet Senators fan (Shhhhh…. I don’t think you’re allowed to be both a Leafs fan and a Sens fan, so don’t tell anyone), so I’d love to be wrong here, but I think Buffalo is just too strong. However, I fully expect this series to go at least six games.
  • Detroit over Anaheim — this is a hard one as well, but I think Hasek will come up big for Detroit. I suspect that the winner of this series will take the Cup.

Second round picks


Well, I was 7 for 8 with my first round picks in the NHL playoffs. Let’s see how well I do in the second round:

  • Buffalo over the Rangers
  • Ottawa over New Jersey — have to say I’m not sure about this one. Ottawa won their first round series in 4, so they’ve been sitting and waiting for a week, while New Jersey had a hard-fought series against Tampa Bay, and might be riding some momentum. Maybe I should just predict that this series will go 6 or 7 and not actually pick a winner.
  • Detroit over San Jose
  • Anaheim over Vancouver

First Round Picks


I looked at the hockey scores this morning and found that the winners of all four games last night were who I picked to win their respective series. Then I realized that nobody knew this because I hadn’t posted my picks! So here I go:

  • Buffalo over the Islanders
  • New Jersey over Tampa Bay
  • The Rangers over Atlanta
  • Ottawa over Pittsburgh — though I don’t think I’d want to play Pittsburgh in next year’s playoffs.
  • Dallas Detroit over Calgary
  • Anaheim over Minnesota
  • Vancouver over Dallas
  • Nashville over San Jose

I’ll make my second round picks once the first round is done, but right now, I’m picking Buffalo over Detroit in the Cup final.